Covid-19 crisis Focus on the hospital cases
This is my hypothesis. It appears to be sensible based on the reports that I have read. 

There are several community cases and unlinked cases that are discovered in regular screening of front line workers or mass screening of residents of specific HDB blocks or visitors to certain infected malls.

These cases appear to be mild and do not spread widely.

There are a few exceptions of "super spreaders". Even so, the spread does not appear to get out of control. It appears that the super spreader may spread to their family members and close contacts, but the infected people do not spread to other people.

A WHO expert explained that the secondary spread is mild.

If my observation is correct, we should adopt a more focused approach.

There is no need to be alarmed about infected people, unless they have a heavy viral load and may be super spreaders. They fall sick and are likely to be detected. 

We can focus on people who become symptomatic. If they are treated early, the do not become super spreaders. Even if they infect other people, the infection is likely to be mild.

Based on my line of thinking, we do not need to worry about the number of community cases or unlinked cases. We can treat them as being normal. 

We need to focus on the cases where the infection is severe and the patient need to be treated in hospital. 

We only need to impose severe restrictions on social activities when the number of people that need hospital treatment for covid increases to an alarming level.

Some people will say - by that time it will be too late. 

I do not think so. We will have plenty of time to react, before the infection gets out of control. 

If we impose HA or CB restrictions, we will kill our business and livelihood.
Do not over react when the risk is still low.

Tan Kin Lian
 

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