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05 Oct 2023
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Tan Kin Lian - Investment Journey
Trouble for the US economy
The US economy will face the following difficulties:
1. Many banks in the US are facing large losses on their holdings in US treasury bonds. Some of these banks may fail, causing a financial crisis.
2. The US government may have to shut down in November due to the failure to pass the spending bill.
3. The moratorium on the $1.77 trillion of student debt has expired. The borrowers have to start their monthly repayment now. This is likely to cause a drop in consumer spending, leading to a recession.
4. The high interest rate is expected to move the economy into a recession.
5. Many businesses are expected to report lower earnings, due to the difficult economic situation.
I decided to reduce my holdings in US stocks, including Tesla.
Tan Kin Lian
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